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Product-Market Fit: More Than Just Metrics
How to recognize PMF in the moments before the dashboards confirm it
Ask ten founders what product-market fit (PMF) means, and most will quote Marc Andreessen: “being in a good market with a product that can satisfy that market.” But while the definition is neat, the lived experience of PMF is far messier—and far more human.
In startup circles, we often reduce PMF to numbers: retention curves, net promoter scores, churn rates, MRR growth. These metrics are crucial, but they don’t tell the whole story. In reality, PMF is something you feel before you fully measure it. It shows up in moments, in behaviors, and in the subtle shift from pushing your product to customers pulling it from you.
The Signs in the Trenches
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1. Customers Start Selling for You
Before PMF, you’re hustling for every single signup. After PMF, you notice people recommending your product in Slack groups, on Twitter, or to their colleagues without prompting. Organic referrals become more common, and suddenly your marketing spend doesn’t feel like it’s carrying the entire weight of growth.
2. Support Channels Tell a Different Story
In the early days, support tickets are filled with basic troubleshooting. Post-PMF, you’ll notice the tone shifts: people aren’t asking if the product works, but how they can get more out of it. Complaints transform into feature requests—an encouraging sign that users now rely on your product enough to want it improved.
3. Urgency Flips
When you’re pre-PMF, it’s you chasing customers with demos and follow-ups. After PMF, customers start chasing you: “When will this feature be ready? Can we get early access? Can we pay for more seats?” That shift in urgency—where the demand-side is more impatient than the supply-side—is one of the clearest experiential signals of fit.
Metrics Matter, But They Lag
Here’s the tricky part: the numbers don’t always show PMF right away. Your retention chart may not spike instantly. Your revenue may still look lumpy. Metrics are invaluable for validating and scaling, but the feeling of PMF often precedes the clean graphs.
Think of it like this: PMF is first a market conversation before it becomes a dashboard trendline.
Stories That Illustrate the Feeling
Slack: Stewart Butterfield described how, in the early days, users didn’t just try Slack—they begged their companies to adopt it. Teams were importing their colleagues en masse, creating a viral pull from the bottom up.
Airbnb: Before growth metrics made headlines, founders noticed that guests who had stayed in an Airbnb once were far more eager to book again—and were telling friends to try it. That emotional endorsement was the earliest hint of PMF.
Superhuman: Rahul Vohra famously developed a PMF survey to quantify user love, but he first felt PMF in the way users refused to leave—even when the product was invite-only and incomplete.
Each of these companies experienced a turning point where users’ behaviors and emotions spoke louder than any graph.
Why Founders Miss It
Many founders miss early PMF signals because they’re trained to look for big data proof. But the early signs are often qualitative:
Users writing long, unsolicited emails about how your product changed their workflow.
Prospects chasing down your team for access.
A community forming around your product before you’ve officially launched.
These don’t always show up in dashboards, but they’re gold. Ignoring them means you might delay doubling down on the very thing working.
How to Tune Your Senses
If you want to catch the “moments” of PMF as they emerge, here are a few habits:
Talk to users weekly – Don’t just track NPS. Get on calls and listen for excitement, frustration, and urgency.
Monitor word-of-mouth – Google Alerts, community mentions, and referral patterns often give early clues.
Log qualitative feedback – Keep a “love folder” where you save every positive customer email or testimonial. Over time, you’ll see the volume and intensity rise.
Watch for resource pull – If customers start hacking together ways to expand usage (like creating multiple accounts or spreadsheets to “work around” limits), they’re telling you they want more.
The Real Definition of PMF
At its core, PMF isn’t just about metrics or moments—it’s the convergence of the two. Metrics give you confidence to scale, but the moments give you conviction to persevere.
PMF feels like:
Relief—because you’re no longer pushing a boulder uphill.
Excitement—because customers are amplifying your reach.
Anxiety—because demand is growing faster than you can keep up.
It’s not a single milestone you achieve once and for all, but a dynamic state that deepens as your market and product evolve.
Final Thought
Founders who only chase metrics may miss the subtle, early signals of fit. Those who only rely on feelings may scale too soon without proof. The truth is, PMF is both: a story written in customer behavior before it shows up in the numbers.
If you pay attention to the moments, you’ll know when the tide has turned—even before your dashboard tells you so.
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Until next time,
— Startup Stoic